Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.064705 0.073011 0.081513 0.090836 0.100742 0.110927 0.122162
2025-07-20 0.049189 0.061206 0.074153 0.088998 0.105416 0.122899 0.142806
2025-07-27 0.042151 0.056706 0.073018 0.092334 0.114291 0.138216 0.166007
2025-08-03 0.035563 0.051580 0.070201 0.092892 0.119296 0.148615 0.183219
2025-08-10 0.030740 0.047835 0.068387 0.094062 0.124527 0.158881 0.199945
2025-08-17 0.026259 0.043942 0.065925 0.094053 0.128043 0.166910 0.213897
2025-08-24 0.021136 0.038600 0.061179 0.090849 0.127414 0.169845 0.221739
2025-08-31 0.017153 0.034306 0.057369 0.088455 0.127467 0.173343 0.230032
2025-09-07 0.014821 0.032064 0.056022 0.088981 0.130931 0.180762 0.242818
2025-09-14 0.013163 0.030622 0.055604 0.090582 0.135637 0.189608 0.257247
2025-09-21 0.012402 0.030482 0.056921 0.094408 0.143102 0.201774 0.275625
2025-09-28 0.010929 0.029006 0.056235 0.095494 0.147048 0.209632 0.288848
2025-10-05 0.011126 0.030500 0.060040 0.102916 0.159465 0.228313 0.315648
2025-10-12 0.008756 0.027242 0.056762 0.100681 0.159513 0.231896 0.324420
2025-10-19 0.008039 0.026876 0.057726 0.104224 0.167010 0.244668 0.344317
2025-10-26 0.006774 0.025246 0.056635 0.104817 0.170604 0.252564 0.358282
2025-11-02 0.005798 0.024019 0.056065 0.106070 0.175013 0.261447 0.373438
2025-11-09 0.004731 0.022365 0.054679 0.106060 0.177679 0.268099 0.385833
2025-11-16 0.003326 0.019504 0.051063 0.102626 0.175615 0.268659 0.390631
2025-11-23 0.002306 0.017195 0.048150 0.100058 0.174591 0.270445 0.396869
2025-11-30 0.001803 0.016158 0.047369 0.100622 0.177800 0.277619 0.409782
2025-12-07 0.001482 0.015578 0.047365 0.102339 0.182584 0.286815 0.425226
2025-12-14 0.001396 0.015826 0.048900 0.106441 0.190691 0.300327 0.446099